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State of Bitcoin with Brandon Keys

By Green Candle Investments

Last boosted Nov 10, 2025

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I bring viewers easy-to-digest information about investing, both in traditional equities and in Bitcoin. Tune in every Monday for new Macro Insights podcasts and Friday for new State of Bitcoin podcasts, offering deep dives into current developments, emerging trends, and expert analyses. Stay connected with us on Twitter and Instagram @GreenCandleit for real-time updates, and engage with host, Brandon, at @bkeys1010 on Twitter. Don't miss out – share, subscribe, and actively participate in the conversation! Spread the word about our podcast!

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  • Inspired by Darkside, I asked DeepSeek “Can you predict the outcomes from the global financial crisis in 2008, if bitcoin existed as it presently exist with the ETFs and treasury companies”. Answer is fascinating. Of course. This is a fascinating "what if" scenario that blends history, economics, and technology. Predicting outcomes requires considering how a decentralized, non-sovereign, and globally accessible asset like Bitcoin would have interacted with the specific causes and effects of the 2008 crisis. First, let's clarify the key elements of your question: * **The 2008 Crisis Core Problem:** A collapse of trust in counter-party risk within the traditional financial system. Institutions like Lehman Brothers, AIG, and Bear Stearns were found to be insolvent due to exposure to toxic mortgage-backed securities. Banks stopped lending to each other, freezing credit markets. * **Bitcoin "as it presently exists":** This implies: * A mature asset class with significant liquidity (~$1T+ market cap). * Spot Bitcoin ETFs (e.g., BlackRock's IBIT, Fidelity's FBTC) providing easy, regulated access for traditional investors. * Publicly traded companies (e.g., MicroStrategy) and national governments (e.g., El Salvador) holding Bitcoin on their treasury balance sheets. Here’s a predicted breakdown of the outcomes, categorized into likely positive and negative consequences. --- ### Likely Positive Outcomes & Mitigating Effects 1. **A Massive "Flight to Safety" and Store of Value:** * **Scenario:** As trust in banks and traditional assets (stocks, bonds, even some currencies) evaporated, investors would have desperately sought alternatives. Gold famously surged during this period. Bitcoin, with its defined monetary policy (hard cap of 21 million) and independence from any government or bank, would have been a prime candidate. * **Outcome:** We would have seen an enormous capital inflow into Bitcoin, far exceeding the 2017 or 2021 bull runs. Its price would have skyr…